Insight
Discover insights and analysis on prediction markets. Explore in-depth articles, data-driven forecasts, and community perspectives on real-world events.
Dustin Gouker answers our burning questions about prediction markets, emerging verticals
Dustin Gouker is one the most well-known and respected reporters in the gaming industry. He’s spent more than 20 years as a sports journalist, and nearly six heading up content at Catena Media. Today, Dustin writes two of the industry’s hottest newsletters—The Closing Line and Event Horizon—
How Polymarket and Kalshi are gamifying truth
From bettors wagering millions on Jerome Powell’s every word to billion-dollar valuations and mounting legal battles, prediction markets have leapt from fringe experiment to financial juggernaut—blurring the line between truth discovery and high-octane gambling.
Polymarket Thinks Bitcoin Will Hit $75,000 Next Week, But Charts Disagree
Prediction markets show optimism, but momentum signals hidden weakness beneath Bitcoin price. Whale accumulation hides deeper split that could decide Bitcoin’s next major move.
How AI is helping retail traders exploit prediction market 'glitches' to make easy money
A fully automated bot quietly captured micro-arbitrage opportunities on short-term crypto prediction markets, netting nearly $150,000.
Prediction markets want to eat the news
Regulators noticed Polymarket and Kalshi rake in cash on sports bets. So now prediction markets are cosplaying as the future of news.
Sports Leagues Warm To Prediction Markets After Federal Backing
With federal regulators suddenly willing to defend prediction markets, major US sports leagues are quietly softening their opposition in a pivot that closely mirrors their historic, lucrative embrace of sports contracts.
What happens on prediction platforms can steer traditional markets, NYSE chief says
Prediction market outcomes are being used as inputs for how players deal with traditional financial markets, NYSE President Lynn Martin said at Mar-a-Lago on Wednesday.
TV antennas and Super Bowl rehearsals: How prediction market traders seek an edge
One prediction market trader made thousands of dollars by listening to a rehearsal of the event and correctly guessing how long Puth's rendition of the anthem would take.
States Encroach on Prediction Markets
The CFTC, the legitimate regulator of these financial instruments, backs Crypto.com in a lawsuit appeal.
Ethereum Co-Founder Vitalik Buterin Calls for Prediction Market Reset
Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin criticized the current direction of prediction markets, warning that an increasing focus on short-term bets risks distorting incentives and encouraging harmful behavior.
Cardi B’s appearance during Bad Bunny’s Super Bowl halftime performance divided prediction markets
Wake up, babe, new Schrödinger’s cat just dropped: Cardi B exists in a simultaneous state of both performing at the Super Bowl Halftime Show and not performing at the Super Bowl Halftime Show … until observed settled by prediction markets. Confused yet? So were many people who placed bets — or
Prediction volume hits record off Super Bowl Sunday
Parlays boosted sportsbook margins; Kalshi faced outages amid 20-fold volume spike Americans wagered a record $1.76 billion on the Super Bowl, according to American Gaming Association projections, as a wave of first-time bettors and an explosion in parlay activity delivered a windfall for the sports-betting industry — and growing pains
