6 posts

Economics

Explore economics prediction markets, forecasts, and insights. Access expert analysis and community predictions on economic trends, indicators, and global financial events.

How Polymarket and Kalshi are gamifying truth

From bettors wagering millions on Jerome Powell’s every word to billion-dollar valuations and mounting legal battles, prediction markets have leapt from fringe experiment to financial juggernaut—blurring the line between truth discovery and high-octane gambling.

Polymarket Thinks Bitcoin Will Hit $75,000 Next Week, But Charts Disagree

Prediction markets show optimism, but momentum signals hidden weakness beneath Bitcoin price. Whale accumulation hides deeper split that could decide Bitcoin’s next major move.

What happens on prediction platforms can steer traditional markets, NYSE chief says

Prediction market outcomes are being used as inputs for how players deal with traditional financial markets, NYSE President Lynn Martin said at Mar-a-Lago on Wednesday.

Wall Street Wants to Bring Election Bets Into Brokerage Accounts

Roundhill Investments has asked the US Securities and Exchange Commission for permission to launch six ETFs that would let investors wager on US election outcomes through standard brokerage accounts — the most ambitious attempt yet to bring prediction markets into mainstream finance. The proposed exchange-traded funds, disclosed in a filing on

SEC Chair Suggests Some Prediction Markets Could Fall Under Agency’s Jurisdiction

This potential move challenges the CFTC, which has been the sector's primary regulator.

DraftKings Shares Lofty Prediction Markets Goals in 2026 Outlook

The online sports betting operator reported a 43% jump in sales and shared ambitious investment plans for its prediction markets platform

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