61 posts

Predictions Insider

CFTC Faces More Pushback From States Over Prediction Markets

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission is facing opposition from states over its bid to be the sole regulator of prediction markets.

Wall Street Wants to Bring Election Bets Into Brokerage Accounts

Roundhill Investments has asked the US Securities and Exchange Commission for permission to launch six ETFs that would let investors wager on US election outcomes through standard brokerage accounts — the most ambitious attempt yet to bring prediction markets into mainstream finance. The proposed exchange-traded funds, disclosed in a filing on

CFTC defends its right to prediction market enforcement as states challenge platforms

CFTC Chairman Michael Selig said the agency has filed an amicus brief in federal court to assert its authority over prediction market enforcement and regulation.

TV antennas and Super Bowl rehearsals: How prediction market traders seek an edge

One prediction market trader made thousands of dollars by listening to a rehearsal of the event and correctly guessing how long Puth's rendition of the anthem would take.

States Encroach on Prediction Markets

The CFTC, the legitimate regulator of these financial instruments, backs Crypto.com in a lawsuit appeal.

NBA commissioner Adam Silver: NBA Sees Prediction Markets the Same As Sports Betting

“We currently are looking at prediction markets essentially in the same way that we’re looking at sports betting markets or sports betting companies,” Adam Silver said at All-Star Weekend.

Ethereum Co-Founder Vitalik Buterin Calls for Prediction Market Reset

Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin criticized the current direction of prediction markets, warning that an increasing focus on short-term bets risks distorting incentives and encouraging harmful behavior.

CFTC Forms 35 Member Committee Focused On Event Contracts And AI

Committee brings together leaders from prediction markets, sports betting, finance, and blockchain. CEOs from Polymarket, Kalshi, DraftKings, and FanDuel will sit alongside Nasdaq leadership. Group will advise regulators on event contracts, digital assets, and AI influence on trading markets.

Cortez Masto leads Senate Democrats in stand on prediction markets

Senate Democrats challenged CFTC Chair Michael Selig to enforce bans on prediction markets, warning that his regulatory pivot is fueling unregulated gambling on sports and geopolitical conflicts.

SEC Chair Suggests Some Prediction Markets Could Fall Under Agency’s Jurisdiction

This potential move challenges the CFTC, which has been the sector's primary regulator.

DraftKings Shares Lofty Prediction Markets Goals in 2026 Outlook

The online sports betting operator reported a 43% jump in sales and shared ambitious investment plans for its prediction markets platform

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